On Thermal Expansion & Thermal Contraction - 40

It never stops

Today I present a proper replacement for the erroneous hypothesis that "thermal expansion is the major cause of sea level rise" and the erroneous hypothesis that "thermal expansion is a major cause of sea level rise" and the current hypothesis that "thermal expansion is about one third of global mean average sea level rise".

Regular readers know that I have been criticizing the foundation and application of that erroneous hypothesis for quite a while (On Thermal Expansion & Thermal Contraction, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10, 11, 12, 13, 14, 15, 16, 17, 18, 19, 20, 21, 22, 23, 24, 25, 26, 27, 28, 29, 30, 31, 32, 33, 34, 35, 36, 37, 38, 39).

In reply to those who ask "What melt water can replace the erroneous hypothesis Dredd?" I have answered "the things that have been overlooked" (e.g. The Ghost-Water Constant, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9;  NASA Busts The Ghost; and more recently The Ghost Plumes, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6).

In a recent post I pointed out:

My ultimate intent is to find alternate sources to replace the "missing" water when the erroneous (thermal expansion as "the major" or "a major" cause of sea level rise) hypothesis is no longer advocated ...

(The Ghost Plumes - 5). After advancing the ghost plumes idea, I decided to show how little it would take to supplant the current assertion that "one-third of global mean average sea level rise" (GMSLR) is caused by thermal expansion.

In addition to previous posts, today I do so with some details about the ghost plumes hypothesis.

So, in the following tables notice how so little melt needs to take place in the zones of each Antarctic area in order to equate to one third of GMSLR:

RE: Global Mean Sea Level Rise (GMSLR)
(361,841 m³ of melt water raises GMSL 1 mm)
(current total GMSLR is ~3.4 mm yr; 1/3 of 3.4 is 1.13 mm yr)
(410,086.47 m³ of melt water is 1/3 of GMSLR yr)

RE: Assumed Plume Sea Level Rise (PSLR)
(1/3 (1.33 mm yr) GMSLR is due to Antarctica Plume Melt water)

RE: Relevant Antarctica Grounding Line (AGL)
(length: 47,455,400 m)

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Zone #	Zone GL Length (m)	Zone% of APGL	Zone's Plume Volume
3603	948062 m	14.093	8192.69 m3 yr 22.4304 m3 day 0.934598 m3 hr
3604	1.07035e+06 m	15.9108	9249.44 m3 yr 25.3236 m3 day 1.05515 m3 hr
3605	1.23595e+06 m	18.3725	10680.5 m3 yr 29.2416 m3 day 1.2184 m3 hr
3606	1.09032e+06 m	16.2077	9422.01 m3 yr 25.7961 m3 day 1.07484 m3 hr
3700	714801 m	10.6256	6176.96 m3 yr 16.9116 m3 day 0.70465 m3 hr
3701	858463 m	12.7611	7418.42 m3 yr 20.3105 m3 day 0.846272 m3 hr
3702	809244 m	12.0295	6993.09 m3 yr 19.146 m3 day 0.797752 m3 hr

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Zone #	Zone GL Length (m)	Zone% of APGL	Zone's Plume Volume
3607	930701 m	11.8031	8042.67 m3 yr 22.0196 m3 day 0.917484 m3 hr
3608	650146 m	8.24512	5618.25 m3 yr 15.3819 m3 day 0.640913 m3 hr
3609	771646 m	9.78598	6668.19 m3 yr 18.2565 m3 day 0.760688 m3 hr
3610	761075 m	9.65192	6576.84 m3 yr 18.0064 m3 day 0.750267 m3 hr
3611	1.32574e+06 m	16.813	11456.4 m3 yr 31.3659 m3 day 1.30691 m3 hr
3612	846227 m	10.7318	7312.68 m3 yr 20.021 m3 day 0.83421 m3 hr
3613	707331 m	8.97034	6112.41 m3 yr 16.7349 m3 day 0.697286 m3 hr
3614	969389 m	12.2937	8376.99 m3 yr 22.9349 m3 day 0.955623 m3 hr
3615	922960 m	11.7049	7975.77 m3 yr 21.8365 m3 day 0.909853 m3 hr

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Zone #	Zone GL Length (m)	Zone% of APGL	Zone's Plume Volume
3616	61040.3 m	0.632429	527.481 m3 yr 1.44416 m3 day 0.0601735 m3 hr
3716	4.32396e+06 m	44.7999	37365.6 m3 yr 102.301 m3 day 4.26256 m3 hr
3717	237006 m	2.45558	2048.09 m3 yr 5.60737 m3 day 0.23364 m3 hr
3816	1.05052e+06 m	10.8843	9078.08 m3 yr 24.8544 m3 day 1.0356 m3 hr
3817	257695 m	2.66994	2226.87 m3 yr 6.09685 m3 day 0.254035 m3 hr
5715	1.11934e+06 m	11.5973	9672.79 m3 yr 26.4827 m3 day 1.10344 m3 hr
5815	1.21178e+06 m	12.5551	10471.6 m3 yr 28.6697 m3 day 1.19457 m3 hr
5816	896480 m	9.28829	7746.94 m3 yr 21.21 m3 day 0.883749 m3 hr
5817	493901 m	5.11723	4268.05 m3 yr 11.6853 m3 day 0.486887 m3 hr

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Zone #	Zone GL Length (m)	Zone% of APGL	Zone's Plume Volume
5711	1.16371e+06 m	30.4711	10056.2 m3 yr 27.5324 m3 day 1.14718 m3 hr
5712	411150 m	10.7657	3552.96 m3 yr 9.72747 m3 day 0.405311 m3 hr
5713	483060 m	12.6487	4174.37 m3 yr 11.4288 m3 day 0.4762 m3 hr
5714	1.76114e+06 m	46.1145	15218.9 m3 yr 41.6671 m3 day 1.73613 m3 hr

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Zone #	Zone GL Length (m)	Zone% of APGL	Zone's Plume Volume
5606	5.02076e+06 m	33.8769	43387 m3 yr 118.787 m3 day 4.94946 m3 hr
5706	3.22357e+06 m	21.7506	27856.5 m3 yr 76.267 m3 day 3.17779 m3 hr
5707	2.36998e+06 m	15.9911	20480.2 m3 yr 56.0718 m3 day 2.33632 m3 hr
5708	1.9667e+06 m	13.27	16995.3 m3 yr 46.5305 m3 day 1.93877 m3 hr
5709	889963 m	6.00491	7690.63 m3 yr 21.0558 m3 day 0.877325 m3 hr
5710	1.34962e+06 m	9.10638	11662.8 m3 yr 31.9309 m3 day 1.33045 m3 hr

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Zone #	Zone GL Length (m)	Zone% of APGL	Zone's Plume Volume
5605	789264 m	17.3404	6820.44 m3 yr 18.6733 m3 day 0.778056 m3 hr
5700	1.01235e+06 m	22.2417	8748.24 m3 yr 23.9514 m3 day 0.997974 m3 hr
5701	1.32577e+06 m	29.1276	11456.7 m3 yr 31.3666 m3 day 1.30694 m3 hr
5702	833240 m	18.3066	7200.45 m3 yr 19.7138 m3 day 0.821407 m3 hr
5703	573334 m	12.5963	4954.47 m3 yr 13.5646 m3 day 0.565192 m3 hr
5705	17640.5 m	0.387568	152.441 m3 yr 0.41736 m3 day 0.01739 m3 hr

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The hourly amount of melt water required to be generated at most zones is less than what it takes to fill a hot tub.

We would become impatient waiting an hour for it to fill, because that is sooooo slow.

The required plume melt rate to add up to 1/3 of GMSLR is a very slow vertical plume, but it is a very wide plume.

The "take home", "the bottom line", and yes the gravamen of this is that it is not unreasonable to think that Antarctic thermal plumes are able to account for substantial amounts of melt water to add up to 1/3 of GMSLR.

The previous post in this series is here.