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| Senator Inhofe's research staff |
I. Introduction
I am beginning a new series on questionable scientific papers, because there seems to be a surge in their numbers lately.
This post could have been placed in the Agnotology series.
But, that series is getting crowded, with 17 posts already (Agnotology: The Surge - 17).
So is the Weekend Rebel Science Excursion series, with 53 already (Weekend Rebel Science Excursion - 53), so, here we go, and maybe, just maybe, we can work up a scale for awarding the worst science paper of the year award (e.g. "the Inhofe Research Award").
Today's candidate Inhofe Research Award paper, like the last one I posted about (here), is published in the journal Nature.
A journal that may be going the way of National Geographic.
The National Geographic that was recently purchased by Robert Murdoch, who also owns the scientific journal Fox News.
II. Today's Candidate
The Inhofe Research Award paper asserts that:
Here we project that the Antarctic ice sheet will contribute up to 30 cm sea-level equivalent by 2100 and 72 cm by 2200 ...(Nature Letter, 18 Nov 2015). Note that "30 cm" is 300 mm (0.98 ft), and 72 cm is 720 mm (2.36 ft).
The software model that they talked about in their paper, and used to reach their dark minded conclusion, sucks.
That model projects that only 3.53 mm (2100 - 2015 = 85 yrs; 300mm ÷ 85yrs = 3.53 mm yr) per year of sea level rise (SLR) from Antarctica up to 2100.
Those who care to base software models on reality know that there are annual tide gauge station records going back to the early 1800's, located all around the globe, which refute this junk "science" paper (e.g. Permanent Service for Mean Sea Level, PSMSL).
Those records reveal, to those who can read, that orders of magnitude more than 3.53 mm per year already happen in locations around the world.
That would amount to astronomically more that 30cm over 85 years.
Washington, DC, for example, in 1996 alone had a sea level rise (SLR) of 153 mm (43.34 times more than their bogus yearly average of 3.53 mm).
The very next year, Santa Cruz had a one year SLR of 235 mm (66.57 times more than their bogus yearly average of 3.53 mm).
The list goes onward and upward:
| Station Name | Number | Latitude | Longitude | ↕mm | Year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FOGLO-DEGERBY | 249 | 60.0318832 | 20.3848171 | 212 | 1996 |
| PAGO-PAGO | 539 | -14.2799997 | -170.6900024 | 242 | 1999 |
| WEIPA | 1157 | -12.6666670 | 141.8666687 | 180 | 1972 |
| VICTOR-HARBOUR | 1069 | -35.5624809 | 138.6354065 | 139 | 1997 |
| PORT-ADELAIDE-OUTER-HARBOR | 448 | -34.7797623 | 138.4807281 | 137 | 1972 |
| BUNBURY | 834 | -33.3234444 | 115.6599731 | 130 | 2011 |
| FREMANTLE | 111 | -32.0655556 | 115.7481384 | 139 | 1940 |
| ST-GEORGES-ESSO-PIER-BERMUDA | 368 | 32.3733330 | -64.7033310 | 152 | 1974 |
| ILHA-FISCAL | 1032 | -22.8966675 | -43.1666679 | 169 | 1971 |
| NEW-WESTMINSTER | 1245 | 49.2000008 | -122.9166641 | 221 | 1977 |
| SAINT-JOHN-NB | 195 | 45.2666664 | -66.0666656 | 129 | 2014 |
| QUEBEC-LAUZON | 173 | 46.8333321 | -71.1666641 | 165 | 1948 |
| DESCHAILLONS | 201 | 46.5666656 | -72.0999985 | 346 | 2012 |
| PORT-SAINT-FRANCOIS | 137 | 46.2666664 | -72.6166687 | 530 | 2012 |
| TROIS-RIVIERES | 126 | 46.3333321 | -72.5500031 | 784 | 1944 |
| BATISCAN | 144 | 46.5000000 | -72.2500000 | 392 | 2008 |
| PORTNEUF | 951 | 46.6833344 | -71.8833313 | 226 | 1999 |
| NEUVILLE | 192 | 46.7000008 | -71.5666656 | 190 | 1999 |
| ST-JOSEPH-DE-LA-RIVE | 1244 | 47.4500008 | -70.3666687 | 155 | 1980 |
| TUKTOYAKTUK | 1000 | 69.4166641 | -132.9666595 | 152 | 1967 |
| ANTOFAGASTA-2 | 510 | -23.6530552 | -70.4044418 | 132 | 1973 |
| VALPARAISO | 499 | -33.0272217 | -71.6258316 | 141 | 1997 |
| PENRHYN | 1450 | -9.0166674 | -158.0666656 | 182 | 1983 |
| BAKAR | 353 | 45.2999992 | 14.5333328 | 133 | 1951 |
| SPLIT-RT-MARJANA | 685 | 43.5083313 | 16.3916664 | 158 | 2011 |
| GEDSER | 120 | 54.5727768 | 11.9255562 | 191 | 2007 |
| RODBYHAVN | 762 | 54.6558342 | 11.3486109 | 287 | 1980 |
| KOBENHAVN | 82 | 55.7050018 | 12.6000004 | 131 | 1961 |
| HORNBAEK | 119 | 56.0911102 | 12.4583330 | 142 | 1961 |
| HIRTSHALS | 89 | 57.5955544 | 9.9638891 | 138 | 1961 |
| HANSTHOLM | 703 | 57.1188889 | 8.5955563 | 140 | 1984 |
| ESBJERG | 80 | 55.4608345 | 8.4411106 | 168 | 1996 |
| SANTA-CRUZ | 1472 | -0.7500000 | -90.3166656 | 235 | 1997 |
| KEMI | 229 | 65.6733704 | 24.5152493 | 248 | 1939 |
| OULU-ULEABORG | 79 | 65.0403137 | 25.4182339 | 243 | 1961 |
| RAAHE-BRAHESTAD | 240 | 64.6663361 | 24.4070492 | 246 | 1961 |
| PIETARSAARI-JAKOBSTAD | 194 | 63.7085686 | 22.6895828 | 233 | 1961 |
| VAASA-VASA | 57 | 63.0815315 | 21.5711823 | 217 | 1939 |
| KASKINEN-KASKO | 285 | 62.3439484 | 21.2148323 | 220 | 1996 |
| MANTYLUOTO | 172 | 61.5943832 | 21.4634323 | 217 | 1996 |
| RAUMA-RAUMO | 376 | 61.1335335 | 21.4258175 | 212 | 1961 |
| TURKU-ABO | 239 | 60.4282837 | 22.1005325 | 220 | 1961 |
| HANKO-HANGO | 71 | 59.8228683 | 22.9765835 | 203 | 1996 |
| HELSINKI | 14 | 60.1536331 | 24.9562168 | 244 | 1996 |
| HAMINA | 315 | 60.5627670 | 27.1791992 | 248 | 1961 |
| MARSEILLE | 61 | 43.2788010 | 5.3538599 | 150 | 1951 |
| POTI | 41 | 42.1666679 | 41.6833344 | 183 | 1970 |
| BATUMI | 51 | 41.6333313 | 41.7000008 | 168 | 1949 |
| SASSNITZ | 397 | 54.5108337 | 13.6430559 | 148 | 1996 |
| WISMAR-2 | 8 | 53.8988876 | 11.4580564 | 138 | 1952 |
| PREVEZA | 410 | 38.9590797 | 20.7566280 | 129 | 1991 |
| PIRAIEVS | 374 | 37.9373283 | 23.6267147 | 132 | 1992 |
| ALEXANDROUPOLIS | 1238 | 40.8441391 | 25.8782711 | 140 | 2011 |
| APRA-HARBOUR-GUAM | 540 | 13.4383326 | 144.6533356 | 231 | 1972 |
| TAI-PO-KAU-TOLO-HARBOUR | 1034 | 22.4424992 | 114.1838913 | 173 | 1970 |
| HANASAKI-II | 1442 | 43.2780571 | 145.5677795 | 136 | 1995 |
| KAMINATO-II-HATIZYO-SIMA | 1440 | 33.1302795 | 139.8047180 | 618 | 2002 |
| MIYAKE-SIMA | 1060 | 34.0672226 | 139.4808350 | 295 | 2001 |
| KOZU-SIMA | 1061 | 34.2091675 | 139.1316681 | 1143 | 2007 |
| KURE-I | 1320 | 33.3336105 | 133.2433319 | 139 | 2005 |
| KANTON-ISLAND-B | 1329 | -2.8166671 | -171.7166595 | 154 | 1998 |
| KLAIPEDA | 118 | 55.7000008 | 21.1333332 | 216 | 1996 |
| KWAJALEIN | 513 | 8.7316666 | 167.7350006 | 135 | 1997 |
| ACAPULCO | 686 | 16.8333321 | -99.9166641 | 132 | 1982 |
| YAP-B | 1251 | 9.5166674 | 138.1333313 | 205 | 1997 |
| DELFZIJL | 24 | 53.3263893 | 6.9330559 | 147 | 1877 |
| HARLINGEN | 25 | 53.1755562 | 5.4094439 | 148 | 1996 |
| DEN-HELDER | 23 | 52.9644432 | 4.7449999 | 134 | 1866 |
| MAASSLUIS | 9 | 51.9174995 | 4.2497220 | 131 | 1866 |
| VLISSINGEN | 20 | 51.4422226 | 3.5961111 | 145 | 1903 |
| WHANGAREI-HARBOUR-MARSDEN-POINT | 1065 | -35.7574310 | 174.3500366 | 130 | 1992 |
| HONNINGSVAG | 1267 | 70.9803162 | 25.9726963 | 145 | 1975 |
| ANDENES | 425 | 69.3260651 | 16.1348476 | 138 | 1952 |
| NARVIK | 312 | 68.4282837 | 17.4257584 | 154 | 1984 |
| KABELVAG | 45 | 68.2126389 | 14.4821491 | 158 | 1961 |
| BODO | 562 | 67.2882919 | 14.3908129 | 164 | 1984 |
| ALESUND | 509 | 62.4694138 | 6.1519461 | 169 | 1961 |
| BERGEN | 58 | 60.3980446 | 5.3204870 | 166 | 1920 |
| OSLO | 62 | 59.9085579 | 10.7345104 | 166 | 1984 |
| OSCARSBORG | 33 | 59.6780739 | 10.6048613 | 155 | 2011 |
| KARACHI | 204 | 24.8116665 | 66.9749985 | 130 | 1979 |
| MALAKAL-B | 1252 | 7.3333330 | 134.4666595 | 249 | 1998 |
| BALBOA | 163 | 8.9666672 | -79.5666656 | 132 | 1989 |
| MANILA-S-HARBOR | 145 | 14.5833330 | 120.9666672 | 148 | 2008 |
| MURMANSK | 684 | 68.9666672 | 33.0499992 | 134 | 1989 |
| UST-KARA | 600 | 69.2500000 | 64.5166702 | 171 | 2013 |
| VISE-VISE-OSTROV | 704 | 79.5000000 | 76.9833298 | 175 | 1991 |
| DIKSON | 611 | 73.5000000 | 80.4000015 | 273 | 1990 |
| SOPOCHNAIA-KARGA | 917 | 71.8666687 | 82.6999969 | 191 | 1967 |
| IZVESTIA-TSIK-IZVESTIA-TSIK-OSTROVA | 728 | 75.9499969 | 82.9499969 | 203 | 1975 |
| STERLEGOVA-STERLEGOVA-MYS | 612 | 75.4166641 | 88.9000015 | 225 | 1967 |
| KOTELNYI-KOTELNYI-OSTROV | 641 | 76.0000000 | 137.8666687 | 398 | 1995 |
| SANNIKOVA-SANNIKOVA-PROLIV | 602 | 74.6666641 | 138.8999939 | 186 | 1997 |
| KIGILIAH | 642 | 73.3333359 | 139.8666687 | 164 | 1967 |
| PEVEK | 606 | 69.6999969 | 170.2500000 | 188 | 1967 |
| TUAPSE | 215 | 44.0999985 | 39.0666656 | 222 | 1922 |
| NAGAEVO | 827 | 59.5499992 | 150.7166595 | 188 | 2005 |
| SANTANDER-I | 485 | 43.4612999 | -3.7908001 | 149 | 1947 |
| LA-CORUNA-I | 484 | 43.3685989 | -8.3977499 | 138 | 1956 |
| KUNGSVIK | 2113 | 58.9966660 | 11.1272221 | 132 | 2011 |
| SMOGEN | 179 | 58.3536110 | 11.2177782 | 173 | 1992 |
| STENUNGSUND | 2112 | 58.0933342 | 11.8325005 | 130 | 1996 |
| KLAGSHAMN | 330 | 55.5222206 | 12.8936110 | 274 | 1991 |
| SIMRISHAMN | 2107 | 55.5574989 | 14.3577776 | 150 | 1996 |
| KUNGSHOLMSFORT | 70 | 56.1052780 | 15.5894442 | 173 | 1952 |
| OSKARSHAMN | 2106 | 57.2750015 | 16.4780560 | 186 | 1996 |
| OLANDS-NORRA-UDDE | 69 | 57.3661118 | 17.0972214 | 165 | 1900 |
| VISBY | 2105 | 57.6391678 | 18.2844448 | 191 | 1996 |
| MARVIKEN | 2104 | 58.5536118 | 16.8372211 | 200 | 1996 |
| STOCKHOLM | 78 | 59.3241653 | 18.0816669 | 201 | 1996 |
| FORSMARK | 2103 | 60.4086113 | 18.2108326 | 210 | 1996 |
| SPIKARNA | 1211 | 62.3633347 | 17.5311108 | 216 | 1996 |
| RATAN | 88 | 63.9861107 | 20.8950005 | 231 | 1961 |
| FURUOGRUND | 203 | 64.9158325 | 21.2305565 | 233 | 1939 |
| KALIX | 2101 | 65.6969452 | 23.0961113 | 195 | 2011 |
| KO-TAPHAO-NOI | 446 | 7.8333330 | 98.4333344 | 294 | 1981 |
| FORT-PHRACHULA-CHOMKLAO-POM-PHRACHUN | 444 | 13.5500002 | 100.5833359 | 143 | 1967 |
| HOLYHEAD | 5 | 53.3139458 | -4.6204438 | 158 | 1960 |
| SAND-POINT-POPOF-IS-AK | 1634 | 55.3366661 | -160.5016632 | 129 | 1989 |
| ANCHORAGE | 1067 | 61.2383347 | -149.8899994 | 131 | 1968 |
| SELDOVIA | 1070 | 59.4399986 | -151.7200012 | 142 | 1989 |
| SEWARD | 266 | 60.1199989 | -149.4266663 | 130 | 1989 |
| SKAGWAY | 495 | 59.4500008 | -135.3266602 | 130 | 1989 |
| ASTORIA-TONGUE-POINT | 265 | 46.2066689 | -123.7683334 | 143 | 1948 |
| CRESCENT-CITY | 378 | 41.7449989 | -124.1816635 | 135 | 1984 |
| SAN-FRANCISCO | 10 | 37.8066673 | -122.4649963 | 146 | 1984 |
| ALAMEDA-NAVAL-AIR-STATION | 437 | 37.7716675 | -122.2983322 | 149 | 1984 |
| GALVESTON-II-PIER-21-TX | 161 | 29.3099995 | -94.7933350 | 148 | 1976 |
| WASHINGTON-DC | 360 | 38.8733330 | -77.0216675 | 153 | 1996 |
(Weekend Rebel Science Excursion - 51). Those figures are from the Permanent Service for Mean Sea Level (PSMSL).
The first two columns on the table above, "Station Name, Number" equate to "Station Name, ID" on the list of tide gauge stations around the world covered by PSMSL at the link just above.
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| Writing Scientific Papers |
You can look them up on the PSMSL website, by clicking on the PSMSL (Station) ID column using the same unique station number/id.
III. The Sources
At footnote 4 in the ill advised paper, they cite to a paper by author Dr. Eric Rignot (see video below).
He is a professor and scientist who has studied, for decades, the glaciers of the world along with the ice sheets of Greenland and Antarctica.
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| Anthropogenic Global Warming increases SLR |
The year 2050 is fifty years earlier than the goofy estimate in today's subject paper, the goofy Inhofe Research Award paper.
Ten feet of potential SLR by 2050 is orders of magnitude more SLR than their paper indicates.
IV. Conclusion
Perhaps the authors of the goofy Inhofe Research Award paper are seeking a job working for Oil-Qaeda (Oil-Qaeda & MOMCOM Conspire To Commit Depraved-Heart Murder, 2, 3) ?
A discussion about ice shelves vs. ice sheets by Dr. Eric Rignot, Phd.:
15:29 when the ice shelf "Larsen A" collapsed the entire glacier's flow speed toward the sea increased ...
18:50"Larsen B" ice shelf collapse caused the same thing ... the entire glacier's flow accelerated toward the sea ...
19:30 when the ice shelf goes away so does the restraint on the glacier, and they then move faster, 8 times faster, toward the sea
27:15 the East Antarctica Totten Glacier basin contains about as much ice as all of Western Antarctica, and it is destabilizing
30:30the condition of the ice shelf controls what happens to the ice sheet
A discussion of, among other things, SLC as impacted by ice sheet mass and gravity: