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| Fig. 1Glaciers in East Turkey (blue circle) |
I was fooled while trying to figure out the perplexing tide gauge history in the PSMSL database for the Black Sea area ("4.1 ft. of SLC ???").
A regular reader wondered about the precipitation records available, which would have an impact on outflow from the Danube, Dniestr, and other rivers flowing into the Black Sea.
I researched that issue and added to that post a Section V. concerning that issue.
But that did not solve some of the mystery and flux in the tide gauge record which caused me to keep pondering.
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| Fig. 2Georgia Glaciers (BlackSea) |
I hypothesized in my thinking that perhaps melting glaciers were feeding the rivers that outflowed into the Black Sea.
Nope (read that post if you haven't yet).
Finally, it dawned on me that I had forgotten to consider ghost water (The Ghost-Water Constant, 2, 3, 4).
As it turns out, Turkey, Georgia, Armenia, Iran, and Russia (and several other countries) have beaches along the Black Sea.
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| Fig. 3Caucus Mountains (Black Sea) |
This is not completely solved, but the part of the puzzle that was right in front of my eyes, but I could not see it, led me to realize what others go through.
I should have known better, having read about ghost-water, having written about it, and having put forth a hypothesis about the magnitude of the influence of ghost-water, and of course having seen proof (Proof of Concept - 3, Proof of Concept - 5).
Anyway, a lot of people have been, like me, the blind man in the group of blind men around the Elephant (The Warming Science Commentariat).
I am still on the case, pondering the various hinge lines (The Evolution and Migration of Sea Level Hinge Points) and gravity of this situation (The Gravity of Sea Level Change, 2, 3, 4).
I just can't seem to get away from it.
The previous post in this series is here.